At least 28,187 plant species are recorded as medicinal, and only a small share carry the evidence a U.S. product needs
Fewer than 16% of medicinal plant species are cited in a regulatory publication. This course follows that gap through U.S. law and FDA data: identity, safety evidence, the new dietary ingredient rule, the drug route, patents and access.
Status. EUTECNIQ is a company in formation with no laboratory, data, customers or patents. This course teaches published facts, not legal advice.
Of 342,953 accepted vascular plant species, 28,187 have a recorded medicinal use and 4,478 appear in a medicinal regulatory publication
Data table: the three counts
| Step | Species | Share of the step before |
|---|---|---|
| Accepted vascular plant species | 342,953 | – |
| Recorded as of medicinal use | 28,187 | 8.2% |
| Cited in a medicinal regulatory publication | 4,478 | 15.9% |
You will learn
- Read the medicinal-plant funnel from published counts and say what each step measures.
- Explain why names, plant parts and chemistry make identity the first barrier.
- Describe the new dietary ingredient (NDI) rule and what FDA's public notification list shows.
- Compare the effort behind supplement, food-ingredient and drug evidence using sourced estimates.
- Explain how the drug-first clause, patent limits, CITES and access-and-benefit-sharing narrow the field.
- Walk one candidate through seven gates and find the first question that stops it.
Fewer than one in six recorded medicinal species appears in any medicinal regulatory publication
Data and limits of the funnel
| Step | Species | Share of previous step | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accepted vascular plant species | 342,953 | – | World Checklist of Vascular Plants, April 16, 2021 |
| Recorded as being of medicinal use | 28,187 | 8.2% | Kew Medicinal Plant Names Services, 2017 |
| Cited in a medicinal regulatory publication | 4,478 | 15.9% | Kew, 2017 |
| Medicinal species under CITES protection | c. 1,280 | 4.5% of medicinal species | Kew, 2017 |
Kew calls 28,187 “probably a very conservative figure.” A regulatory publication includes pharmacopoeias from many countries; being cited is not U.S. authorization. Species are not ingredients: one species can yield several parts and extracts. We found no verified count of U.S. pharmacopeial botanical monographs and do not show one.
Data for the yearly rates
| Item | Count | Period | Per year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Structure/function notifications, 21 CFR 101.93 | 3,690 | FDA annual estimate | 3,690 |
| New dietary ingredient notifications, 21 CFR 190.6 | 55 | FDA annual estimate | 55 |
| Botanical INDs received by CDER | 739 | March 1984 to December 2020 (about 36.8 years) | ≈20 |
| Botanical drugs approved | 4 | 2006 to 2023 | 0.22 |
Explanation, details and sources
Each step counts something different, so read the ratio between steps, not the drop alone. The share at step k is fk = nk ÷ nk−1: 28,187 ÷ 342,953 = 8.2%, and 4,478 ÷ 28,187 = 15.9%.
Identity comes first, because one trade name can cover 15 species and one species can carry 15 names
Data: Form 483 citations by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Identity test, 111.75(a)(1)(i) | Supplier qualification, 111.75(a)(2)(ii)(A) | All Part 111 |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 22 | 25 | 1,218 |
| FY2023 | 15 | 18 | 1,173 |
| FY2024 | 39 | 29 | 1,583 |
| FY2025 | 66 | 45 | 1,938 |
Explanation, details and sources
A notification must name a botanical by “the Latin binomial name, including the author” (21 CFR 190.6(b)(2)), and a supplement maker must run at least one identity test on each dietary ingredient (21 CFR 111.75(a)(1)(i)). Course 3 teaches the methods.
With no official list of pre-1994 ingredients, each firm documents its own status, and FDA's public list holds 1,372 notifications
Data: NDINs listed by year of submission
| Years | Notifications per year, in order |
|---|---|
| 1995–2004 | 2, 8, 14, 19, 24, 31, 20, 53, 64, 43 |
| 2005–2014 | 57, 64, 73, 40, 47, 53, 49, 42, 33, 40 |
| 2015–2025 | 48, 60, 93, 42, 33, 54, 47, 33, 45, 59, 71 |
The list has 1,372 rows numbered up to 1,460 (first submission July 7, 1995; last listed February 11, 2026). Two rows have a typing error in the submission date and are left out of the yearly counts; nine rows dated 2026 are not shown. FDA lists “publicly displayable” notifications it has reviewed, without the type of response.
Explore the NDIN record FDA data
2016 to 2025: 537 notifications, a mean of 53.7 a year, against FDA's estimate of 3,690 structure/function notices a year (about 69 to 1).
Method, assumptions and limits
- What it calculates
- For the chosen calendar years: the number of notifications in FDA's public list, the mean per year, the median number of days from the listed submission date to FDA's response, and the share of responses dated more than 75 days after submission.
- Equations
- N = Σ ny; mean = N ÷ number of years; the median is the middle value of the sorted response times (the mean of the two middle values for an even count).
- Variables and units
- y0, y1: calendar years, 1995–2025 (if reversed they are swapped). Response time: days. Two rows whose response predates submission are excluded from response times.
- What it does not establish
- The list holds only publicly displayable notifications and does not record whether FDA objected. A response after day 75 can follow an amendment that set a new filing date (21 CFR 190.6(d)); it is not a measure of FDA delay.
- Verification
- Six ranges are checked against an independent Python count of the same spreadsheet (tests/numerics/ref/academy_untapped-botanicals.py).
- References
- U.S. FDA, Submitted 75-Day Premarket Notifications for New Dietary Ingredients (list downloaded October 23, 2026); 21 CFR 190.6; 89 FR 2957; 90 FR 35694.
Explanation, details and sources
A new dietary ingredient is one “not marketed in the United States before October 15, 1994” (FD&C Act § 413(d)). FDA states: “There is no authoritative list of dietary ingredients that were marketed in dietary supplements before October 15, 1994.” It held a public meeting on such a list on October 3, 2017. Details are on NDIN strategy.
The safety basis is the costly part. When a notification relies on history of use alone, FDA “generally recommends 25 years of widespread use to be the minimum” (final guidance, October 2026); otherwise toxicology studies fill the gap between historical and proposed intake.
The explorer opens on 2016–2025, when FDA's median response came on day 68. Set the range to 1995–2025 and the median is 71 days, the all-years figure on NDIN strategy.
Sourced estimates put a supplement notice in hours of paperwork and the evidence for a new drug in billions of dollars
Data for the ladder
| Item | Estimate | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Structure/function notification | 0.75 hours | FDA, 3,690 notices a year |
| NDI notification | 20 hours | FDA, extracting and summarizing information already in the company's files |
| GRAS notice | 180 hours | FDA preliminary regulatory impact analysis, August 2026 |
| Pivotal efficacy trial | $19.0 million (median; IQR 12.2–33.1) | 138 trials behind 59 drugs approved 2015–2016 |
| Out-of-pocket R&D per approved new drug | $1,395 million | 106 drugs from 10 firms; 2013 dollars |
| Capitalized R&D per approved new drug | $2,558 million | Same sample, 10.5% real cost of capital |
Explanation, details and sources
FDA's hour estimates cover preparing a submission from data the firm already holds; they exclude generating studies. Drug estimates capitalize spending to approval and absorb failures: C = Σ ct(1 + r)T−t, with ct the spending in year t, T the approval year and r = 10.5% a year in DiMasi et al. Worked example: $1 spent ten years before approval counts as 1.10510 = $2.71 at approval.
FDA received 739 botanical INDs from 1984 to 2020 and has approved four botanical drugs, each with a composition specification
Data: botanical INDs by action and status
| Category | Oncologic (254) | Non-oncologic (485) | All (739) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe to proceed at 30 days | 175 | 282 | 457 |
| Clinical hold at 30 days | 56 | 111 | 167 |
| Withdrawal at 30 days | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| Other initial actions | 11 | 78 | 89 |
| Active, December 2020 | 82 | 171 | 253 |
| On hold, December 2020 | 7 | 33 | 40 |
| Withdrawn or terminated | 137 | 237 | 374 |
| Inactive | 24 | 31 | 55 |
| Other status | 4 | 13 | 17 |
Data: label specifications
- Veregen: catechins 85 to 95% by weight of the drug substance, which “includes more than 55% of Epigallocatechin gallate (EGCg).”
- Filsuvez: betulin 72–88%, lupeol 2.4–5.7%, betulinic acid 2.6–4.2%, erythrodiol 0.5–1.2%, oleanolic acid 0.3–0.8% (w/w).
- NexoBrid: the listed proteins make up 80% to 95% w/w of anacaulase-bcdb.
- Mytesi: average degree of polymerization of the oligomers 5 to 7.5.
Explanation, details and sources
Half of those INDs had been withdrawn or terminated by December 2020. Three of the four approved products are applied to skin or wounds; crofelemer is the only oral one. A disease claim needs this route (Course 10). An ingredient approved or substantially investigated as a drug first can also be excluded from the supplement definition, § 201(ff)(3)(B); see Legal status.
A plant as found in nature cannot be patented, and CITES and access-and-benefit-sharing rules govern who may collect and trade it
Explanation, details and sources
The Supreme Court held that “A naturally occurring DNA segment is a product of nature and not patent eligible merely because it has been isolated” (Myriad, 2013); Legal status covers what can be protected. The Nagoya Protocol entered into force on October 12, 2014 and has 143 Parties; the United States signed the Convention on Biological Diversity in 1993 but is not a Party.
For a U.S. firm the provider country's law still applies. Under the Protocol, utilization “includes research and development on the genetic or biochemical composition of genetic resources,” and access rules cover prior informed consent, mutually agreed terms and a permit or equivalent.
A natural mixture varies from batch to batch, so its effect has to be shown to be consistent
Explanation, details and sources
FDA's botanical drug guidance names, as “one of the critical issues,” ensuring “that the therapeutic effect for marketed drug product batches is consistent,” supported by a “totality of the evidence” approach. The same variability affects supplement specifications; Course 5 explains its sources.
Most barriers bind at more than one stage, so solving them one at a time rarely clears a candidate
Text version: why each barrier binds where it does
- Identity binds at sourcing, characterization and filing (Latin binomial, 190.6(b)(2); identity test on each ingredient, 111.75).
- Safety evidence binds where studies are run and where the notification states the basis for safety (190.6(b)(4)).
- NDI status binds at filing; a process change can reopen it when FDA's draft view of “chemically altered” applies.
- The drug-first exclusion binds at filing and marketing (§ 201(ff)(3)(B)).
- Patent eligibility matters when a characterized form or process is to be protected (35 U.S.C. 101).
- CITES and access rules bind at collection and at every shipment.
- Variability binds wherever a lot is sourced, tested or scaled.
Explanation, details and sources
For a product decision this sets the order of work. Identity and access come first because every later document depends on them; marketing history and the intended claim then decide whether the route is a notification, no filing, or a drug program, and so how much safety and clinical evidence to buy.
Walking one candidate through seven gates shows where its route forks and where it stops
Supplement route with a notification filed at least 75 days before marketing, then a structure/function notice within 30 days after.
- Identity: cleared
- Access: cleared
- Drug-first clause: cleared
- Marketing history: new dietary ingredient
- Food-supply exception: does not apply; NDIN required
- Safety basis: cleared
- Claim: structure/function statement
Method, assumptions and limits
- What it does
- Applies the order of questions on this page to one candidate and reports the route, the gates cleared, and the shortest statutory wait between filing and first interstate sale.
- Rules used
- Identity: 21 CFR 190.6(b)(2) and 111.75(a)(1)(i). Drug-first: § 201(ff)(3)(B). New dietary ingredient: § 413(d). Food-supply exception: § 413(a)(1). Notification 75 days before marketing: § 413(a)(2), 21 CFR 190.6. Structure/function notice within 30 days after: 21 CFR 101.93(a)(1). Disease claim: 21 CFR 101.93(f). IND in effect 30 days after receipt: 21 CFR 312.40(b).
- Assumptions
- “Believed so, no records” is planned as a new dietary ingredient, because FDA keeps no authoritative list. The 25-year figure is FDA's recommended minimum when history of use alone is relied on, a recommendation rather than a rule. “Chemically altered” follows FDA draft guidance and is left to counsel.
- Valid range
- One botanical ingredient intended for a U.S. dietary supplement. It does not cover conventional foods, cosmetics, state law, sanctions or import rules.
- What it does not establish
- It is a teaching aid, not legal advice or a safety conclusion. Counsel decides legal status; qualified laboratories and experts generate the evidence.
- Verification
- Six answer sets are checked against an independent Python implementation of the same rules (tests/numerics/ref/academy_untapped-botanicals.py) and by unit tests (tests/unit/acclaim.test.js).
Explanation, details and sources
Three statutory clocks frame the routes: 75 days before marketing for an NDIN, 30 days after for a structure/function notice, and 30 days from receipt before an IND takes effect.
Seven pairs that are easy to confuse when reading this evidence
- Recorded medicinal use≠clinical proof of effect
- Cited in a regulatory publication≠lawful to sell in the United States
- An NDIN acknowledged without objection≠FDA approval or a finding of safety
- FDA's public NDIN list≠every notification FDA received
- FDA's preparation hours≠the cost of the studies behind a submission
- A botanical IND≠an approved botanical drug
- CITES Appendix II≠a trade ban
Nine terms used in this course
Show the 9 key terms
- Accepted species
- The name a checklist treats as correct; synonyms point to it.
- Dietary ingredient
- A vitamin, mineral, botanical, amino acid, dietary substance, or their extracts and combinations (§ 201(ff)(1)).
- New dietary ingredient
- One not marketed in the United States before October 15, 1994.
- NDIN
- Premarket notification of a new dietary ingredient, filed at least 75 days ahead.
- IND
- Investigational new drug application, needed to study a product as a drug.
- Botanical drug
- A drug from plants, algae or macroscopic fungi, usually a mixture.
- Drug-first exclusion
- § 201(ff)(3)(B): an article first approved or investigated as a drug is not a supplement.
- Access and benefit-sharing
- Consent, agreed terms and benefit-sharing for using genetic resources.
- Capitalized cost
- Spending carried forward to approval at a cost of capital.
Five questions on the untapped territory
Kew's 4,478 species are “cited in a medicinal regulatory publication.” Are they authorized for sale in the United States?
No. The publications include pharmacopoeias and regulatory texts from many countries. U.S. status depends on the product category, the ingredient's marketing history and the claims.
A supplier says its root extract was “sold before 1994.” What does FDA expect?
FDA keeps no authoritative list, so the firm must document that a supplement containing the ingredient, or the ingredient for use in supplements, was marketed before October 15, 1994. Without records, plan for a notification.
FDA estimates 20 hours to prepare an NDIN. Why is that not the cost of the safety case?
FDA's estimate covers extracting and summarizing information already in the company's files. Toxicology studies, chemistry and history-of-use research come before that and are not counted.
Why does a botanical drug label specify constituents present at under 1%?
The drug substance is a mixture. Ranges for minor constituents help show that each batch matches the material tested, which supports consistent therapeutic effect.
A species is in CITES Appendix II. Can it be traded?
Yes, if the exporting country grants an export permit. Appendix II controls trade; Appendix I prohibits it unless the purpose of the import is not commercial.
Next: why U.S. botanicals cannot claim to treat disease
Course 10 reads the statute, FDA's own examples and the botanical drug pathway, with a claim sorter.